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    This website presents a public policy proposal. It is not law, regulation, or an official government publication.

    Proposal 2

    A DHS Administrative Stability Framework for Childhood Arrivals

    Preserving continuity through administrative permanence

    For over a decade, individuals who entered the United States as minors have lived within a cycle of temporary protection tied to changing policy interpretations. The repeated opening, suspension, reinstatement, and litigation of childhood arrival programs has created uncertainty not only for participants, but also for employers, schools, and state governments that rely on predictable residency classifications.

    The challenge is not eligibility — it is continuity. A durable administrative framework can provide stability without creating new immigration status, expanding statutory benefits, or requiring congressional legislation. The objective is administrative reliability: maintaining lawful presence supervision under existing executive authority while eliminating recurring program disruption.

    1. The Administrative Instability Problem

    Current childhood arrival protections operate as a policy designation rather than a structural classification. Because the designation depends on program memoranda rather than a regulatory category embedded into ongoing agency procedure, it becomes vulnerable to interruption whenever administrative priorities change.

    This produces recurring systemic effects:

    Periodic Application Surges

    Participants rush to file before potential termination deadlines, overwhelming agency processing capacity.

    Employer Uncertainty

    Employers face unpredictable authorization expiration timelines, complicating workforce planning.

    Educational Disruption

    Students cannot reliably plan multi-year academic paths when legal presence remains uncertain.

    Litigation Cycles

    Courts repeatedly evaluate the existence of the program rather than the conduct of participants.

    The instability is therefore procedural rather than eligibility-based. Participants remain the same population; only the administrative container changes.

    A stable system requires a classification that persists independent of policy cycles.

    The goal is continuity of supervision, not expansion of benefits.

    2. Transitioning From Program to Classification

    Instead of operating as a standalone initiative, childhood arrival protection can be incorporated into an ongoing administrative registration category governed by regulation rather than memorandum.

    Under this structure, individuals would enter a defined supervised presence classification based on verifiable criteria:

    • Arrival as a minor
    • Continuous residence
    • Identity verification
    • Criminal background clearance
    • Periodic reporting requirements

    The government would not grant permanent residence or statutory immigration status. Rather, it would recognize a supervised administrative presence category similar in structure to other temporary compliance classifications already implemented through regulation.

    The difference is permanence of process rather than permanence of presence.

    Participants remain under monitoring authority, but the program itself no longer depends on policy renewal cycles.

    This prevents disruption without altering statutory immigration law.

    3. Predictable Authorization and Renewal Structure

    The instability of the current system arises largely from uncertain renewal timing and inconsistent adjudication intervals.

    A fixed administrative schedule eliminates this problem.

    Proposed operational structure:

    Defined authorization validity period

    Multi-year employment authorization issued on a predictable cycle.

    Automated renewal eligibility review

    Background checks and compliance verification performed prior to expiration rather than after lapse.

    Continuous lawful presence supervision

    Presence remains authorized as long as conditions are met and renewal is timely requested.

    The government therefore monitors behavior instead of repeatedly re-deciding existence.

    For employers and schools, the classification becomes predictable. For agencies, workloads become scheduled rather than reactive.

    The administrative system transitions from crisis management to routine case maintenance.

    4. Enforcement and Accountability Mechanisms

    Stability does not eliminate enforcement. It redirects enforcement toward conduct rather than classification.

    Participation requires continued compliance:

    • Criminal offenses
    • Fraudulent identity use
    • Failure to update residence
    • Repeated failure to renew

    trigger termination of supervised presence.

    This maintains credibility of enforcement while preventing arbitrary interruption for compliant participants.

    The distinction is important:

    Unstable Policy Cycles

    Compliant individuals may lose authorization due to litigation unrelated to personal conduct.

    Stable Classification

    Only individual violations affect eligibility.

    Government resources shift from defending program existence to supervising participant compliance.

    This improves administrative efficiency while preserving enforcement authority.

    5. Administrative and Economic Impact

    A stable classification reduces operational inefficiencies across multiple agencies.

    USCIS Processing Efficiency

    Eliminates surge filings tied to policy deadlines and spreads adjudication workload evenly across time.

    Employer Workforce Stability

    Businesses retain trained employees without repeated authorization gaps.

    Educational Continuity

    Students complete programs without interruption due to policy uncertainty.

    Reduced Litigation Burden

    Courts evaluate individual eligibility disputes rather than program legality.

    The framework does not expand eligibility categories. It stabilizes an already existing population under continuous monitoring.

    By embedding the process into administrative regulation rather than discretionary policy announcements, the government converts recurring emergency administration into routine governance.

    Data & Evidence

    DACA by the Numbers

    Current program statistics from USCIS, USAFacts, and research organizations.

    515,600

    Active DACA recipients (June 2025)

    835K+

    Have ever held DACA

    30.1 yrs

    Average age of recipients

    171

    Countries represented

    Active Recipients — Quarterly Trend

    QuarterActive Recipients
    Mar 2024528,300
    Sep 2024537,730
    Dec 2024533,280
    Mar 2025525,210
    Jun 2025515,600

    Top Countries of Origin

    CountryRecipientsShare
    Mexico428,34081%
    El Salvador20,7703.9%
    Guatemala13,9702.6%
    Honduras12,6802.4%
    Other (171 countries)~40,000~10%

    Economic Contribution

    Annual economic impact of DACA recipients — CAP, AAF, ITEP data.

    GDPFederal TaxesState/Local TaxesSS & Medicare$0B$15B$30B$45B$60B$42B$6.2B$3.3B$2.1B

    $33.55

    Average hourly wage (up 182% from pre-DACA)

    92.4%

    Employment rate (2024 survey)

    68K

    Homes owned by DACA recipients

    343K

    Essential critical infrastructure workers

    34K

    Healthcare workers

    20K

    Educators

    100K

    Food supply chain workers

    Educational Attainment

    Survey and research data on DACA recipients' educational outcomes.

    49.5%

    Hold bachelor's degree or higher

    73.5%

    In school pursuing bachelor's+

    ~99%

    High school graduation rate

    +5.9 percentage points

    DACA increased high school graduation rate among eligible 19–22 year-olds by 5.9 percentage points — Dartmouth Economics Department (2021)

    65% unlocked education access

    65% of respondents said DACA allowed them to pursue educational opportunities previously inaccessible — CAP 2023 Survey

    Legal Timeline

    Key court rulings and current injunction status.

    July 16, 2021

    S.D. Texas (Judge Hanen) declares DACA unlawful; blocks new initial applications nationwide.

    Sept 13, 2023

    Judge Hanen expands injunction to cover Biden's DACA Final Rule (8 CFR 236.22–23).

    Jan 17, 2025

    Fifth Circuit upholds finding DACA Final Rule unlawful; deferred action = valid prosecutorial discretion, but work authorization component potentially unlawful.

    Mar 11, 2025

    Fifth Circuit issues formal mandate.

    May 20, 2025

    No party appeals to Supreme Court — Fifth Circuit decision is now final.

    Current Status (Late 2025)

    Renewals: All current recipients nationwide can continue to renew deferred action and work permits every two years.

    New applications: USCIS accepts but does not process initial applications. Federal government indicated plans to resume processing (Sept 29, 2025).

    The long-term challenge of childhood arrival policy has never been identifying participants. It has been maintaining continuity across administrations.

    A regulatory supervised presence classification preserves executive authority, maintains enforcement capability, and provides predictable administration without requiring new legislation.

    The system moves from temporary relief to stable oversight — not by expanding immigration law, but by standardizing administrative procedure.

    Questions About This Proposal?

    We welcome questions, feedback, and collaboration from researchers, policymakers, and the public.